Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1440.130260 1642.682056 1869.557447 2143.636841 2467.259753 2839.030372 3301.038078
2025-08-03 1128.937169 1393.213820 1718.886504 2154.507676 2729.194147 3471.716374 4520.699504
2025-08-10 989.748263 1284.960022 1672.156679 2226.746685 3016.699458 4126.687232 5851.019726
2025-08-17 886.490936 1198.038210 1627.553363 2278.098254 3265.964711 4757.270730 7275.943269
2025-08-24 802.128990 1120.764428 1578.784481 2306.305189 3474.131454 5352.780792 8776.162452
2025-08-31 732.079278 1052.700527 1530.595064 2322.184538 3657.629875 5934.179322 10387.914950
2025-09-07 681.222631 1005.711894 1505.833073 2367.361539 3891.030750 6638.079938 12402.846863
2025-09-14 613.474208 924.523376 1416.707345 2291.402630 3898.283101 6931.177792 13679.778153
2025-09-21 556.644539 854.529599 1337.208992 2219.727462 3898.772828 7206.459458 14988.320900
2025-09-28 505.663325 789.034453 1257.963902 2137.399892 3864.372685 7402.321009 16168.942033
2025-10-05 488.500012 777.839842 1269.377362 2221.150313 4166.938686 8359.585615 19481.192683
2025-10-12 465.221344 753.862882 1255.532666 2254.570330 4371.329972 9144.719283 22626.295134
2025-10-19 442.590741 729.814827 1240.552896 2286.884893 4586.274840 10021.670044 26424.692051
2025-10-26 419.873158 703.740467 1219.452459 2304.725951 4774.552558 10886.254908 30583.068494
2025-11-02 406.678586 693.587282 1226.941285 2382.397279 5114.384566 12226.886385 36922.403568
2025-11-09 391.945256 679.176575 1224.519644 2438.158116 5412.351000 13538.536568 43876.382555
2025-11-16 375.710937 660.481075 1211.619004 2468.750349 5653.376277 14758.108039 51200.330269
2025-11-23 359.480386 640.426024 1193.942443 2485.980138 5863.305986 15947.946036 59161.477248
2025-11-30 347.508395 627.709860 1190.098513 2535.007295 6169.240312 17539.348151 70048.507158
2025-12-07 324.797570 591.917794 1134.501957 2452.583609 6092.538285 17837.700371 74889.438302
2025-12-14 304.342934 559.319129 1083.145509 2374.848807 6017.077593 18126.281245 79942.218979
2025-12-21 284.527682 526.781380 1029.474974 2285.610933 5893.940365 18217.186009 84041.693439
2025-12-28 280.322851 526.115970 1045.679226 2376.391560 6334.430490 20559.216531 103510.671474